Sat 10 Oct, 12:30
Arsenal vs Leeds
Arsenal
Avg 3.8 · L5 3.8 · Home 5.5
Proj 4.4
7 5 4 6 -3
Leeds
Avg 3.2 · L5 3.2 · Away 3.8
Proj 3.4
5 0.5 2.5 6 2
Arsenal · Leeds · weekly system totals through MD5
Predictions & Forecast
Stacked forecast for Premier League matchday 6. Each overlay is the two clubs’ week-over-week system totals through MD5, stacked on this week’s opponent.
Projected points mix last-five form (40%), home/away split (35%), and season average (25%). A lean needs about a 1-point gap; 2.5+ is a strong lean. This is a system read, not a price.
First kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 12:30.
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
Villa vs Brentford
Villa
Avg 0.6 · L5 0.6 · Home -1
Proj 0.0
-3 -1 3 -1 5
Brentford
Avg 3.7 · L5 3.7 · Away 2.5
Proj 3.3
7 2.5 0.5 2.5 6
Villa · Brentford · weekly system totals through MD5
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Chelsea
Avg 1.3 · L5 1.3 · Home 2.3
Proj 1.6
5 4 -1 0.5 -2
Bournemouth
Avg 0.7 · L5 0.7 · Away 0.8
Proj 0.7
0 1.5 1.5 1.5 -1
Chelsea · Bournemouth · weekly system totals through MD5
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
Ipswich vs Fulham
Ipswich
Avg 0.4 · L5 0.4 · Home 0
Proj 0.3
3 -3 -3 6 -1
Fulham
Avg 0.1 · L5 0.1 · Away 1.5
Proj 0.6
-2 0 -1 3 0.5
Ipswich · Fulham · weekly system totals through MD5
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
Sunderland vs Brighton
Sunderland
Avg 0.5 · L5 0.5 · Home 1
Proj 0.7
0 4 2.5 -2 -2
Brighton
Avg 4.3 · L5 4.3 · Away 3.5
Proj 4.0
7 -1 0.5 8 7
Sunderland · Brighton · weekly system totals through MD5
Sat 10 Oct, 17:30
Man Utd vs Spurs
Man Utd
Avg 1.4 · L5 1.4 · Home 2.5
Proj 1.8
-2 6 1.5 -1 2.5
Spurs
Avg -0.4 · L5 -0.4 · Away 0
Proj -0.3
-3 -2 3 2 -2
Man Utd · Spurs · weekly system totals through MD5
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
Palace vs Forest
Palace
Avg -0.4 · L5 -0.4 · Home -3.5
Proj -1.5
-2 -4 4 -3 3
Forest
Avg 1.3 · L5 1.3 · Away 3.3
Proj 2.0
-1 2.5 2 4 -1
Palace · Forest · weekly system totals through MD5
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
Hull vs Everton
Hull
Avg 3.1 · L5 3.1 · Home 4
Proj 3.4
6 5 2 3.5 -1
Everton
Avg 3.4 · L5 3.4 · Away 2.3
Proj 3
6 1.5 1.5 3 5
Hull · Everton · weekly system totals through MD5
Sun 11 Oct, 16:30
Liverpool vs City
Liverpool
Avg 3.2 · L5 3.2 · Home 1.3
Proj 2.5
1.5 0.5 7 2 5
City
Avg 5 · L5 5 · Away 6
Proj 5.3
3 7 5 5 5
Liverpool · City · weekly system totals through MD5
Mon 12 Oct, 20:00
Coventry vs Newcastle
Coventry
Avg -0.8 · L5 -0.8 · Home -2.5
Proj -1.4
-3 -1 -1 -4 5
Newcastle
Avg 1.8 · L5 1.8 · Away 1.5
Proj 1.7
1.5 6 0.5 -3 4
Coventry · Newcastle · weekly system totals through MD5
Updated 22 September 2026. See the results board on Stacked.
BurnDaddy · Stacked Forecast