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Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction

Sep 25, 2024

Newcastle United is gearing up to face off against Manchester City in a highly anticipated Premier League match at St. James' Park. 

What to Expect from Newcastle

Newcastle United are sitting on 10 points just behind Chelsea and Arsenal. Following a win from behind against Wolves away, Newcastle finally felt the consequences of slow starts falling behind to Fulham early in a 3-1 loss. Harvey Barnes' leads this team with 3 goals, while big striker Alexander Isak is stuck on a single from September 1 against Spurs. At home, I expect Newcastle will play strong defense, hoping to spring Anthony Gordon and Barnes down the wings against a City high line. While it certainly could bode well, Man City see this strategy all the time and practice breaking it down/defending. 

Manchester City's Dominance

City currently top the league table with 13 points. Fresh off a dramatic draw with Arsenal at the Etihad, City will be highly motivated to perform this week. Erling Haaland has surpassed any competition from his striker peers and now battles with the actual clubs of the premier league for total goals lead

Chelsea 11    |    Haaland 10    |   Aston Villa / Liverpool 10 

What to Consider

Manchester City beat Watford on Tuesday in the EFL Cup 2-1. The lineup featured Foden, Grealish, Doku and Walker.  Haaland will be fresh and looking to pounce early, but KDB is questionable with a new injury. Newcastle have been resting since last Saturday. 

Of note, this is the early game on the slate, which always gives me a pause. Crazy things seem to happen in this time slot. Leeds beat Man City in the Etihad a few years ago in the early game at +1000. With 10 men... And yes I had it 

The Plays

Newcastle to win either half +162 | Newcastle Double Chance +125 | SGP Haaland to score and City to Win +260

Power Score Breakdown

As always the blue team is at home. Represented on a weekly and total volume dataset. 

 

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